Lumira SolarShenzhen, China

Guides

How to size an off-grid solar system: a worked example for a three-bedroom home

8 min read

Off-grid sizing goes wrong in one of two directions: a system that runs out of power at 2 a.m., or one that is 60% oversized and unbuyable on price. This guide walks through the four calculations that size a system correctly, using a three-bedroom house with no grid connection as the example.

Step 1 — Build a real load audit

Start with every load, its power in watts, its hours per day, and whether it is AC or DC. Guessing here produces a system that fails seasonally. The kind of load matters as much as the total: a fridge compressor cycling on is a very different demand from an LED light, even at the same daily energy.

Worked load audit — three-bedroom off-grid home
LoadPowerHours per dayDaily energy
LED lighting, 8 points7 W each5 h0.28 kWh
Ceiling fans, 345 W each8 h1.08 kWh
Refrigerator, 150 L DC60 W average10 h equivalent0.60 kWh
Phone and laptop charging65 W4 h0.26 kWh
Water pump, 0.5 kW500 W0.5 h0.25 kWh
Television, 32"50 W4 h0.20 kWh
Total daily energy2.67 kWh

Step 2 — Size the battery bank

Divide daily energy by the usable depth of discharge, then add autonomy days. LiFePO4 is normally specified at 80% depth of discharge; lead-acid should not be taken below 50% if you want more than 500 cycles.

Formula: (daily kWh × autonomy days) ÷ usable depth of discharge = required capacity. For 2.67 kWh and two days of autonomy on LiFePO4, that is (2.67 × 2) ÷ 0.8 = 6.7 kWh.

Round up to the nearest available block. In this example a 7 kWh LiFePO4 bank, typically 24 V at 280 Ah, covers the requirement with headroom for winter.

Usable capacity by chemistry and depth of discharge
ChemistryTypical usable DoDCycle life at that DoDNotes
LiFePO480%3,500–6,000Preferred for daily cycling and high ambient temperature
Lead-acid, tubular gel50%1,200–1,800Lower upfront cost, heavier, more ventilation needed
Lead-acid, AGM40%500–800Only economic for very low-cycle backup

Step 3 — Size the solar array

Array size depends on where the system is installed, because peak sun hours vary from about 2.5 in northern Europe to 6.5 in the Gulf. The formula is: daily energy × system loss factor ÷ peak sun hours.

Use a loss factor of 1.3 to account for wiring, converter, temperature and soiling losses. For 2.67 kWh and a site with 4.0 peak sun hours: (2.67 × 1.3) ÷ 4.0 = 0.87 kWp. Add 20% for winter margin in a temperate climate and the practical specification is 1.05 kWp.

Round to a sensible module count — in this case four 300 Wp modules, or six 200 Wp modules as used in the SP-HS300 kit family.

Peak sun hours by region (annual daily average)
RegionPeak sun hoursArray multiplier vs 5.0
Northern Europe2.5–3.01.7–2.0×
Central Europe3.2–3.81.3–1.6×
Mediterranean, Southern US4.5–5.21.0–1.1×
Gulf, North Africa, Sahel5.5–6.50.8–0.9×
Equatorial Africa, SE Asia4.0–4.81.0–1.25×

Step 4 — Choose the inverter and controller

Size the inverter on peak simultaneous load, not daily energy. Add the running watts of everything that can be on at once, then add the starting surge of the largest motor — a fridge compressor typically needs 3× its running power for a fraction of a second.

Always use MPPT rather than PWM charge control. The efficiency difference is 15–30% of harvested energy in hot climates, which usually repays the price difference within the first year.

Inverter sizing for the worked example
ItemValue
Simultaneous running loadabout 300 W
Largest motor surge (water pump)1,500 W for 1 s
Recommended inverter1,000 W continuous, 2,000 W peak, pure sine wave
Why pure sineCompressor and fan motors run cooler and last longer

Five sizing mistakes that show up after installation

  • Sizing on daily energy while ignoring motor starting surge, so the inverter trips when the fridge starts.
  • Using nameplate panel watts instead of real-world yield, which overstates output by 20–30%.
  • Assuming nameplate battery capacity is usable. Only 80% of LiFePO4 and 50% of lead-acid capacity is available.
  • Forgetting temperature derating. A panel at 60 °C cell temperature produces roughly 14% less than at 25 °C.
  • Ignoring future load growth, then having no room to add a battery or an extra string of modules.

Frequently asked questions

01How do I convert kWh to battery amp-hours?
Divide kilowatt-hours by the nominal battery voltage, then divide by the usable depth of discharge. A 7 kWh LiFePO4 bank at 24 V and 80% DoD is 7,000 ÷ 24 ÷ 0.8 = 365 Ah of installed capacity, or about 280 Ah of usable capacity.
02Can I expand an off-grid system later?
Yes, if it was designed for it. Buy an inverter and MPPT controller rated above current demand, keep battery blocks the same model and age, and leave spare string capacity. Mixing old and new lithium blocks more than 12 months apart shortens the life of both.
03How much does an off-grid system cost compared with a generator?
For the worked example, a solar plus battery system typically costs more upfront than a small diesel generator, but running costs are near zero. In most off-grid locations the break-even point is reached within two to four years when fuel logistics are realistic.

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